ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ZTO in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 13, 2025

ZTO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 43 cases where ZTO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 12, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ZTO as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ZTO just turned positive on November 11, 2025. Looking at past instances where ZTO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ZTO moved above its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ZTO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZTO advanced for three days, in of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 192 cases where ZTO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZTO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ZTO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.700) is normal, around the industry mean (2.791). P/E Ratio (12.992) is within average values for comparable stocks, (175.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.987) is also within normal values, averaging (1.799). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. ZTO's P/S Ratio (2.487) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.959).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ZTO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.