XRT SPDR® S&P Retail ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

XRT's RSI Oscillator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XRT moved out of overbought territory on August 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 36 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XRT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XRT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 12, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XRT as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XRT just turned positive on August 12, 2025. Looking at past instances where XRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XRT moved above its 50-day moving average on August 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 50-day moving average for XRT moved above the 200-day moving average on July 10, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XRT advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 280 cases where XRT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .