XLP The Consumer Staples Sel SectSPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

XLP in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 25, 2025

XLP moved below its 50-day moving average on August 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 46 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 22, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLP as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLP turned negative on August 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for XLP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLP advanced for three days, in of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 327 cases where XLP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .