XLP The Consumer Staples Sel SectSPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

XLP in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on July 22, 2025

XLP moved above its 50-day moving average on July 22, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 42 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 22, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLP as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLP just turned positive on July 22, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLP advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for XLP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 18, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for XLP entered a downward trend on June 30, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.