XLK State Street®TechSelSectSPDR®ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for XLK turns negative, indicating new downward trend

XLK saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on January 30, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 76 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 76 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where XLK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLK turned negative on February 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

XLK moved above its 50-day moving average on February 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XLK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLK advanced for three days, in of 365 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 349 cases where XLK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .