XLF The Financial Select Sector SPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

XLF's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLF turned positive on November 07, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XLF's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 11, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLF as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLF moved above its 50-day moving average on November 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for XLF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for XLF entered a downward trend on October 27, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.