XLF State Street®FinSelSectSPDR®ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Financial Select Sector Index... Show more
XLF in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on December 05, 2025
The 10-day moving average for XLF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 28, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLF as a result. In of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLF just turned positive on November 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
XLF moved above its 50-day moving average on November 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 327 cases where XLF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XLF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category Financial
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|---|---|---|---|
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XLF and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLF has been closely correlated with FNCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLF jumps, then FNCL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XLF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLF | 100% | +0.54% | ||
| FNCL - XLF | 99% Closely correlated | +0.56% | ||
| VFH - XLF | 99% Closely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| IYF - XLF | 98% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| RSPF - XLF | 97% Closely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| FXO - XLF | 95% Closely correlated | +0.26% | ||
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