XLE The Energy Select Sector SPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Energy Select Sector Index... Show more
XLE in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025
The 10-day moving average for XLE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 06, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLE as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLE turned negative on August 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
XLE moved below its 50-day moving average on August 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for XLE entered a downward trend on August 14, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 61 cases where XLE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLE advanced for three days, in of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
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General Information
Category Energy
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XLE and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLE has been closely correlated with VDE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLE jumps, then VDE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XLE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | 100% | -0.09% | ||
| VDE - XLE | 99% Closely correlated | -0.11% | ||
| FENY - XLE | 99% Closely correlated | -0.04% | ||
| RSPG - XLE | 98% Closely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| DRLL - XLE | 98% Closely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| FTXN - XLE | 98% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
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