VMBS Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Secs ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

VMBS sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

VMBS saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on December 02, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VMBS moved out of overbought territory on November 28, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VMBS as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VMBS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VMBS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

VMBS moved above its 50-day moving average on December 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VMBS advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 260 cases where VMBS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .