VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for VGSH shows an upward move is likely

VGSH's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 05, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 309 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 309 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VGSH just turned positive on August 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where VGSH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VGSH advanced for three days, in of 227 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VGSH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VGSH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.