VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

VGLT in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on August 01, 2025

VGLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 32 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VGLT moved out of overbought territory on August 06, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 17 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 17 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where VGLT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VGLT as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VGLT turned negative on August 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VGLT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

VGLT moved above its 50-day moving average on July 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VGLT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 29, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VGLT advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 181 cases where VGLT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .