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VALE
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Dec 12 closing price
Price
$12.69
Change
-$0.60 (-4.51%)
Capitalization
56.16B

VALE Vale SA Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Vale is a large global miner and the world’s largest producer of iron ore and pellets... Show more

Industry: #Steel
VALE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VALE with price predictions
Dec 11, 2025

Aroon Indicator for VALE shows an upward move is likely

VALE's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on December 05, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 232 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 232 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VALE as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VALE just turned positive on December 01, 2025. Looking at past instances where VALE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VALE advanced for three days, in of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VALE moved out of overbought territory on December 05, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where VALE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VALE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VALE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.320) is normal, around the industry mean (26.156). P/E Ratio (9.837) is within average values for comparable stocks, (76.111). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (10.750) is also within normal values, averaging (8.564). VALE's Dividend Yield (0.117) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.031). P/S Ratio (1.448) is also within normal values, averaging (335.222).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VALE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

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VALE
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Gain/Loss:
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

VALE is expected to report earnings to fall 13.97% to 54 cents per share on February 19

Vale SA VALE Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'25
Est.
$0.54
Q3'25
Beat
by $0.11
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.08
Q4'24
Missed
by $0.74
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.13
The last earnings report on October 30 showed earnings per share of 62 cents, beating the estimate of 51 cents. With 41.04M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 56.16B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

VALE paid dividends on September 10, 2025

Vale SA VALE Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.69 per share was paid with a record date of September 10, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of August 13, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company that mines and exports iron ore and pellets, manganese, and iron alloys

Industry OtherMetalsMinerals

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Steel
Address
Praia de Botafogo, 186
Phone
+55 2134853900
Employees
74316
Web
https://www.vale.com
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VALE and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VALE has been closely correlated with BHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VALE jumps, then BHP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To VALE
1D Price
Change %
VALE100%
+2.31%
BHP - VALE
82%
Closely correlated
+0.64%
RIO - VALE
78%
Closely correlated
+0.66%
FSUGY - VALE
62%
Loosely correlated
+0.35%
GLNCY - VALE
61%
Loosely correlated
+0.49%
TECK - VALE
56%
Loosely correlated
+2.97%
More

Groups containing VALE

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To VALE
1D Price
Change %
VALE100%
+2.31%
VALE
(3 stocks)
42%
Loosely correlated
-2.65%