VALE Vale SA Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

VALE in +2.67% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on July 23, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where VALE advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VALE just turned positive on July 22, 2025. Looking at past instances where VALE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

VALE moved above its 50-day moving average on June 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VALE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 03, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for VALE moved above the 200-day moving average on July 03, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 221 cases where VALE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VALE moved out of overbought territory on July 03, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 25, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VALE as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VALE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VALE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.313) is normal, around the industry mean (5.026). P/E Ratio (6.617) is within average values for comparable stocks, (108.418). VALE's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.615) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.744). VALE has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.116) as compared to the industry average of (0.055). P/S Ratio (1.264) is also within normal values, averaging (250.999).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VALE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock slightly better than average.