VALE Vale SA Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

VALE saw its Stochastic Oscillator leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for VALE moved out of overbought territory on May 22, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 62 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 62 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VALE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VALE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 12, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VALE as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VALE just turned positive on May 09, 2025. Looking at past instances where VALE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

VALE moved above its 50-day moving average on May 12, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VALE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 19, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for VALE moved above the 200-day moving average on May 22, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VALE advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 222 cases where VALE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.313) is normal, around the industry mean (4.943). P/E Ratio (6.617) is within average values for comparable stocks, (107.207). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.615) is also within normal values, averaging (3.280). VALE has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.116) as compared to the industry average of (0.056). P/S Ratio (1.264) is also within normal values, averaging (252.412).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VALE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.