USO United States Oil Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks the daily changes in percentage terms of its shares’ per share NAV to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of light, sweet crude oil delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma, as measured by the daily changes in the price of a specified short-term futures contract on light, sweet crude oil called the “Benchmark Oil Futures Contract,” plus interest earned on USO’s collateral holdings, less USO’s expenses... Show more
USO's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for USO moved out of oversold territory on December 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USO just turned positive on December 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where USO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USO advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
USO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on USO as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
USO moved below its 50-day moving average on December 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for USO entered a downward trend on December 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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General Information
Category CommoditiesBroadBasket
USO and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USO has been closely correlated with USOI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if USO jumps, then USOI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To USO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | 100% | -0.14% | ||
| USOI - USO | 95% Closely correlated | -0.31% | ||
| BCIM - USO | 27% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
| PSLV - USO | 27% Poorly correlated | +0.93% | ||
| SLV - USO | 22% Poorly correlated | +0.59% | ||
| SGOL - USO | 22% Poorly correlated | -0.40% | ||
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