TSME Thrivent Small-Mid Cap Equity ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
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Momentum Indicator for TSME turns negative, indicating new downward trend
TSME saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 16, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
TSME moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSME crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 10, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSME declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TSME entered a downward trend on October 17, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSME advanced for three days, in of 203 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSME may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
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General Information
Category MidCapBlend
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| MCLRX | 16.71 | 0.09 | +0.54% |
| BlackRock Advantage Large Cap Core Inv C | |||
| LBWAX | 22.22 | 0.11 | +0.50% |
| BrandywineGLOBAL Div US Large Value A | |||
| TCIHX | 27.95 | 0.06 | +0.22% |
| Nuveen International Eq Idx I | |||
| SZCAX | 51.00 | 0.08 | +0.16% |
| DWS Small Cap Core A | |||
| FRNRX | 34.36 | -0.44 | -1.26% |
| Franklin Natural Resources A | |||
TSME and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSME has been closely correlated with SPMD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TSME jumps, then SPMD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSME | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSME | 100% | -0.24% | ||
| SPMD - TSME | 91% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| IJH - TSME | 91% Closely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| MDY - TSME | 91% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| VXF - TSME | 91% Closely correlated | -0.32% | ||
| SCHM - TSME | 90% Closely correlated | +0.10% | ||
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