TSME Thrivent Small-Mid Cap Equity ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
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TSME sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
TSME saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 29, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 24 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSME moved out of overbought territory on August 14, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSME declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSME broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSME advanced for three days, in of 194 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 179 cases where TSME Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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General Information
Category MidCapBlend
TSME and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSME has been closely correlated with IJH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TSME jumps, then IJH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSME | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSME | 100% | +0.36% | ||
| IJH - TSME | 96% Closely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| VXF - TSME | 96% Closely correlated | +0.58% | ||
| VO - TSME | 93% Closely correlated | -0.10% | ||
| MDY - TSME | 78% Closely correlated | +0.47% | ||
| IWR - TSME | 24% Poorly correlated | +0.24% |