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Jul 23, 2024

Profit Surge: Trader Robot Nets for $TSM in the Past Week

In the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, Artificial Intelligence (AI) trading robots have emerged as potent tools for investors seeking an edge. The recent performance of the AI trading robots accessible through "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" has caught the attention of market participants. Notably, these bots generated an impressive +10.22% gain in a week, with a focus on trading TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company).

Technical Analysis: Aroon Indicator Signals Bullish Momentum:

The Aroon Indicator, a technical tool designed to identify trends, played a pivotal role in the recent success of the AI trading bots. On January 09, 2024, TSM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal, as detected by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor. The green AroonUp line soared above 70, while the red AroonDown line remained below 30. This pattern suggests a potential bullish move, prompting traders to consider buying the stock or call options.

A.I.dvisor's historical analysis of 280 similar instances revealed that in 206 cases, stocks moved higher in the days following such Aroon Indicator patterns, indicating a 74% probability of a positive price movement.

Earnings Report: TSM Beats Estimates:

The latest earnings report on January 18 showcased TSM's robust financial performance. Earnings per share stood at $1.44, surpassing the estimated $1.38. With 15.49 million shares outstanding, TSM's current market capitalization is an impressive $470.58 billion.

Market Capitalization Comparison:

Putting TSM's market cap into perspective within the Semiconductors Industry, where it operates, the average market capitalization is $31.22 billion. TSM stands out with its substantial valuation, yet it falls short of the industry's pinnacle, currently held by NVDA at $1.12 trillion. On the other end of the spectrum, CYBL holds the title of the lowest-valued company with a market cap of $13.43 thousand.

Price Movement Insights:

Analyzing price dynamics across the Semiconductors Industry provides additional context. The average weekly, monthly, and quarterly price growth across all stocks in the industry stood at 3%, 1%, and 2%, respectively. EMKR distinguished itself with a remarkable 29% weekly price growth, while ODII experienced a notable -33% decline during the same period.

Volume Dynamics:

Understanding volume trends is crucial for market participants. Across all Semiconductors Industry stocks, the average weekly volume growth was -5%. However, the monthly and quarterly metrics tell a different story, with average volume growth standing at 103% and 44%, respectively. These fluctuations underscore the importance of monitoring volume dynamics for a comprehensive trading strategy.

Summary:

The success of the AI trading robots in the context of TSM's recent performance and the broader Semiconductors Industry illuminates the growing influence of technology in shaping market outcomes. As investors navigate this landscape, combining technical analysis tools like the Aroon Indicator with a holistic understanding of market dynamics becomes imperative for informed decision-making.

Related Ticker: TSM

TSM in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on October 17, 2024

TSM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 54 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSM moved out of overbought territory on October 18, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 08, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSM as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSM turned negative on October 29, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSM advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 245 cases where TSM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.868) is normal, around the industry mean (8.303). P/E Ratio (33.543) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.155). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.199) is also within normal values, averaging (3.078). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.887) is also within normal values, averaging (47.009).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 52.67B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 3.59T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.59T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. NA experienced the highest price growth at 71%, while RNWEY experienced the biggest fall at -46%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -25%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 69
Seasonality Score: 31 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of integrated circuits, silicon wafers, diodes and related semiconductor components

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
No. 8, Li-Hsin Road 6
Phone
+886 35636688
Employees
61777
Web
https://www.tsmc.com