TOLL Tema Durable Quality ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
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TOLL in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 24, 2025
TOLL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 14 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 25, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TOLL as a result. In of 38 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TOLL turned negative on September 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 25 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOLL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for TOLL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 19, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 6 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOLL advanced for three days, in of 154 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TOLL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
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General Information
Category LargeBlend
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CUSCX | 12.62 | 0.15 | +1.20% |
| Cullen Small Cap Value C | |||
| JLVIX | 77.07 | 0.42 | +0.55% |
| JHancock Fundamental Large Cap Core I | |||
| GMLPX | 38.24 | 0.14 | +0.37% |
| Goldman Sachs MLP Energy Infras Instl | |||
| FCUPX | 20.69 | 0.06 | +0.29% |
| NYLI PineStone U.S. Equity Class P | |||
| MSLLX | 20.81 | 0.03 | +0.14% |
| Morgan Stanley Inst Passport ovrs eq L | |||
TOLL and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOLL has been closely correlated with URTH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOLL jumps, then URTH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TOLL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOLL | 100% | +0.36% | ||
| URTH - TOLL | 90% Closely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| ACWI - TOLL | 89% Closely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| VT - TOLL | 89% Closely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| VIG - TOLL | 86% Closely correlated | +0.47% | ||
| SPY - TOLL | 83% Closely correlated | +0.57% | ||
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