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TOL
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Oct 17, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Price
$135.71
Change
+$1.36 (+1.01%)
Capitalization
13.08B

TOL Toll Brothers Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the US, operating in over 60 markets across 24 states... Show more

Industry: #Homebuilding
TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TOL with price predictions
Oct 16, 2025

TOL's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for TOL entered a downward trend on October 16, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 150 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 150 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TOL as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TOL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TOL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TOL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 56 cases where TOL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.616) is normal, around the industry mean (19.471). P/E Ratio (10.008) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.789). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.057) is also within normal values, averaging (1.405). TOL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.038). P/S Ratio (1.261) is also within normal values, averaging (24.301).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TOL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
Interact to see
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

TOL is expected to report earnings to rise 31.64% to $4.91 per share on December 15

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'25
Est.
$4.91
Q3'25
Beat
by $0.13
Q2'25
Beat
by $0.66
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.29
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.29
The last earnings report on August 19 showed earnings per share of $3.73, beating the estimate of $3.60. With 1.24M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 13.08B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

TOL is expected to pay dividends on October 24, 2025

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.25 per share will be paid with a record date of October 24, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of October 10, 2025. The last dividend of $0.25 was paid on July 25. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a designer of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1140 Virginia Drive
Phone
+1 215 938-8000
Employees
4800
Web
https://www.tollbrothers.com
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TOL and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
+0.04%
PHM - TOL
90%
Closely correlated
-0.64%
KBH - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
-0.49%
TMHC - TOL
88%
Closely correlated
-1.39%
MTH - TOL
88%
Closely correlated
+0.24%
MHO - TOL
86%
Closely correlated
+0.48%
More

Groups containing TOL

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
+0.04%
TOL
(16 stocks)
87%
Closely correlated
+0.69%