TMF's RSI Oscillator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for TMF moved out of overbought territory on September 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 16 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 16 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 22, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TMF as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TMF turned negative on September 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TMF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TMF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TMF entered a downward trend on September 04, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
TMF moved above its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TMF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMF advanced for three days, in of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
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General Information
Category Trading
TMF and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMF has been closely correlated with UBT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TMF jumps, then UBT could also see price increases.