TMF in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on November 12, 2025
The 10-day moving average for TMF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TMF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TMF entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 24, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TMF as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TMF just turned positive on November 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where TMF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TMF moved above its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMF advanced for three days, in of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TMF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
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General Information
Category Trading
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| BIS | 9.74 | 0.11 | +1.14% |
| ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotech | |||
| DBEZ | 54.81 | 0.29 | +0.53% |
| Xtrackers MSCI Eurozone Hedged Eq ETF | |||
| GMAY | 40.96 | 0.06 | +0.15% |
| FT Vest U.S. Eq Mod Buffr ETF - May | |||
| GRW | 31.30 | 0.03 | +0.10% |
| TCW Durable Growth ETF | |||
| GLOV | 57.55 | 0.01 | +0.02% |
| Goldman Sachs ActBt Wld Lw Vl Ps Eq ETF | |||
TMF and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMF has been closely correlated with UBT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TMF jumps, then UBT could also see price increases.