TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TLT in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on November 26, 2025

TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 37 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for TLT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 14, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 24, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on November 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .