SPY stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures rise as oil climbs and Wall Street weighs jobs data signals
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US stock futures rose on Wednesday, poised to backtrack on a string of recent slumps as oil surged and investors continued to debate what the latest jobs data means for Federal Reserve policy and the US economy.
Contracts on the S&P 500 (ES=F) and on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) moved up 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) added 0.3%, after US stocks finished mixed in Tuesday's session.
CBOT - Delayed Quote•USD
Mini Dow Jones Indus.-$5 Dec 25 (YM=F)
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48,585.00
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As of 7:59:48 AM EST. Market Open.
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Also in focus, oil jumped about 2% after President Trump ordered a blockade of sanctioned tankers off Venezuela and with the US said to be readying fresh sanctions on Russia if it rebuffs a Ukraine peace plan. West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) futures climbed to above $56 a barrel, rebounding from the lowest level in almost five years, while Brent (BZ=F) traded just below $60.
After weeks in a data vacuum, Wall Street is trying to find a clear signal in a noisy November jobs report to pinpoint a path for interest rates next year. The data out Tuesday delivered a double surprise: a bigger number of jobs added last month than expected, alongside the highest unemployment rate since 2021. Wall Street is also waiting for the other data shoe to drop: Thursday's update on consumer inflation in November.
Two key Fed members on Wednesday could offer clues on the path ahead, as the New York Fed's John Williams and Fed governor Chris Waller are set to speak at separate appearances. Waller is also reportedly interviewing with Trump on Wednesday as the president moves closer to choosing his replacement for Chair Jerome Powell.
At the same time, investors' appetite for tech stocks remains in focus as questions about the AI trade persist. Micron Technology's (MU) quarterly results are due after the bell on Wednesday and are in higher focus as those worries ripple through the sector, even as the US semiconductor maker gets a boost from the memory chip squeeze.
Tesla (TSLA) has boosted the mood for techs in recent sessions. On Tuesday, it notched its first record close in about a year, amid growing investor enthusiasm over its robotaxi ambitions.
Elsewhere in corporates, Netflix (NFLX) stock rose after Warner Bros. Discovery's (WBD) board called on shareholders to reject a rival bid from Paramount Skydance (PSKY), questioning funding guarantees.
SPY in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on January 20, 2026
SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 34 cases where SPY's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
SPY moved above its 50-day moving average on January 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 368 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 451 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPY as a result. In of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on January 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
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