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SMTC
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
Jul 3 closing price
Price
$44.84
Change
+$0.88 (+2.00%)
Capitalization
3.88B

SMTC Semtech Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Semtech Corp is engaged in designing, developing, manufacturing and marketing analog and mixed-signal semiconductors, algorithms and wireless semiconductors, connectivity modules, gateways, routers and connected services for IoT... Show more

Industry: #Semiconductors
SMTC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMTC with price predictions
Jul 03, 2025

Momentum Indicator for SMTC turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SMTC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 09, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SMTC just turned positive on June 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where SMTC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMTC advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 246 cases where SMTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMTC moved out of overbought territory on June 27, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 50 cases where SMTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SMTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SMTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.831) is normal, around the industry mean (9.358). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.867). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.213) is also within normal values, averaging (2.332). SMTC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (3.659) is also within normal values, averaging (36.832).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SMTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.

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SMTC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

SMTC is expected to report earnings to rise 2.42% to 38 cents per share on August 27

Semtech Corp SMTC Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'25
Est.
$0.39
Q2'25
Beat
by $0.01
Q1'25
Beat
by $0.07
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.03
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.02
The last earnings report on May 27 showed earnings per share of 37 cents, beating the estimate of 37 cents. With 919.33K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.88B.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of analog and mixed-signal semiconductors

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
200 Flynn Road
Phone
+1 805 498-2111
Employees
1917
Web
https://www.semtech.com
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SMTC and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMTC has been closely correlated with MTSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMTC jumps, then MTSI could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SMTC
1D Price
Change %
SMTC100%
+2.00%
MTSI - SMTC
68%
Closely correlated
+0.62%
TSEM - SMTC
60%
Loosely correlated
+6.25%
SITM - SMTC
60%
Loosely correlated
+1.66%
AMBA - SMTC
57%
Loosely correlated
+1.72%
CRDO - SMTC
56%
Loosely correlated
+4.74%
More

Groups containing SMTC

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SMTC
1D Price
Change %
SMTC100%
+2.00%
SMTC
(2 stocks)
87%
Closely correlated
+1.31%