SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the MVIS® US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index... Show more
SMH sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
SMH saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 14, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMH moved out of overbought territory on July 22, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where SMH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for SMH moved above the 200-day moving average on June 30, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 286 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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General Information
Category Technology
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| JANU | 26.58 | 0.08 | +0.28% |
| AllianzIM U.S. Equity Buffer15 Uncapped Jan ETF | |||
| EAOR | 33.64 | 0.04 | +0.13% |
| iShares ESG Aware 60/40 Bal Allc ETF | |||
| DFP | 20.54 | 0.01 | +0.05% |
| FLAHERTY & CRUMRINE DYNAMIC PREFERRED AND Income FUND | |||
| DISV | 33.94 | N/A | N/A |
| Dimensional International Sm Cp Val ETF | |||
| IEUS | 68.32 | -0.02 | -0.02% |
| iShares MSCI Europe Small-Cap ETF | |||
SMH and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMH has been closely correlated with SHOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMH jumps, then SHOC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | 100% | -0.11% | ||
| SHOC - SMH | 97% Closely correlated | -0.13% | ||
| SOXQ - SMH | 97% Closely correlated | +0.02% | ||
| SOXX - SMH | 96% Closely correlated | -0.01% | ||
| SEMI - SMH | 95% Closely correlated | +0.17% | ||
| FTXL - SMH | 95% Closely correlated | -0.16% | ||
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