SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SMH in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on December 17, 2025

SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where SMH's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 53 cases where SMH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

SMH moved above its 50-day moving average on December 19, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 03, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMH moved out of overbought territory on December 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMH as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on December 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SMH entered a downward trend on December 03, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.