SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the MVIS® US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index... Show more
Momentum Indicator for SMH turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SMH saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 04, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SMH just turned positive on September 10, 2025. Looking at past instances where SMH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SMH moved above its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 310 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 18, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category Technology
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SMH and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMH has been closely correlated with SHOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMH jumps, then SHOC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | 100% | -0.04% | ||
| SHOC - SMH | 99% Closely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| SOXQ - SMH | 99% Closely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| SOXX - SMH | 98% Closely correlated | -0.31% | ||
| FTXL - SMH | 96% Closely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| PSI - SMH | 96% Closely correlated | -1.10% | ||
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