SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SMH's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMH moved out of overbought territory on August 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where SMH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on August 18, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 04, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SMH as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SMH moved above its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 292 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .