SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the MVIS® US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index... Show more
Momentum Indicator for SMH turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SMH saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on December 29, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SMH just turned positive on December 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where SMH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 310 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMH moved out of overbought territory on January 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 69 cases where SMH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category Technology
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SMH and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMH has been closely correlated with SHOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMH jumps, then SHOC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | 100% | +1.12% | ||
| SHOC - SMH | 93% Closely correlated | +0.85% | ||
| QTEC - SMH | 93% Closely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| IGM - SMH | 93% Closely correlated | +0.83% | ||
| SOXQ - SMH | 92% Closely correlated | +1.65% | ||
| SOXX - SMH | 91% Closely correlated | +1.85% | ||
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