SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the MVIS® US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index... Show more
SMH sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
SMH saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 13, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMH moved out of overbought territory on October 10, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 69 cases where SMH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 309 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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General Information
Category Technology
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
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| Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3X ETF | |||
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| Pacer Lunt Large Cap Mlt Ftr Alt ETF | |||
| IUSB | 46.90 | 0.06 | +0.13% |
| iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF | |||
| ARKD | 59.29 | N/A | N/A |
| ARK 21Shares Blockchain and Digital Economy Innovation ETF | |||
SMH and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMH has been closely correlated with SHOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMH jumps, then SHOC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | 100% | -1.84% | ||
| SHOC - SMH | 99% Closely correlated | -2.29% | ||
| SOXQ - SMH | 98% Closely correlated | -2.23% | ||
| SOXX - SMH | 97% Closely correlated | -2.05% | ||
| FTXL - SMH | 96% Closely correlated | -1.83% | ||
| PSI - SMH | 96% Closely correlated | -1.29% | ||
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