SMCZ Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SMCZ's Stochastic Oscillator reaches into overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for SMCZ moved into overbought territory on February 02, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for SMCZ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 1 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMCZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SMCZ as a result. In of 10 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SMCZ just turned positive on February 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where SMCZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 4 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SMCZ moved above its 50-day moving average on January 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMCZ advanced for three days, in of 49 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SMCZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 29 cases where SMCZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .