SMBS Schwab® Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for SMBS turns negative, indicating new downward trend

SMBS saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on August 15, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 13 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 13 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMBS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SMBS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SMBS just turned positive on July 30, 2025. Looking at past instances where SMBS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 5 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMBS advanced for three days, in of 45 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 32 cases where SMBS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .