SMBS Schwab® Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for SMBS shows an upward move is likely

SMBS's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on January 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMBS advanced for three days, in of 76 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 16 cases where SMBS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMBS as a result. In of 22 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMBS turned negative on January 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 9 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 9 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMBS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SMBS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.