RIVN Rivian Automotive Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

RIVN's RSI Oscillator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for RIVN moved out of overbought territory on January 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 16 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 16 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RIVN as a result. In of 53 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RIVN turned negative on January 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 28 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIVN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

RIVN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for RIVN moved above the 200-day moving average on January 07, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 69 cases where RIVN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.186) is normal, around the industry mean (6.142). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.218). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). RIVN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (2.370) is also within normal values, averaging (78.580).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RIVN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RIVN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.