OVLY Oak Valley Bancorp (CA) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for OVLY turns positive, indicating new upward trend

OVLY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 11, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 112 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 112 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OVLY just turned positive on August 12, 2025. Looking at past instances where OVLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

OVLY moved above its 50-day moving average on August 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 50-day moving average for OVLY moved above the 200-day moving average on July 29, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OVLY advanced for three days, in of 244 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for OVLY moved out of overbought territory on July 15, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OVLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

OVLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for OVLY entered a downward trend on August 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.247) is normal, around the industry mean (1.101). P/E Ratio (9.469) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.541). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.598). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.932) is also within normal values, averaging (5.074).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. OVLY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.