OVLY Oak Valley Bancorp (CA) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

OVLY's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OVLY turned positive on December 10, 2025. Looking at past instances where OVLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 09, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OVLY as a result. In of 109 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

OVLY moved above its 50-day moving average on December 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OVLY advanced for three days, in of 247 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 220 cases where OVLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for OVLY moved out of overbought territory on December 22, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where OVLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OVLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

OVLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.276) is normal, around the industry mean (1.164). P/E Ratio (10.620) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.280). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.247). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.135) is also within normal values, averaging (5.342).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. OVLY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.