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OTRK Stock Ontrak (OTRK, $0.23) price may climb as it broke lower Bollinger Band on Jun 07, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
06/08/24
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OTRK - Ontrak
Bollinger signal
Bullish Trend
Odds of UP Trend
Tickeron
Bollinger signal
Price: $0.2271
Daily change: -$0.0134 (-5.57%)
Daily volume: 228.3K
Capitalization: $10.9M
Industry: Packaged Software
This price move could be a signal that OTRK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. A.I.dvisor backtested 43 similar cases where OTRK's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:

OTRK's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OTRK turned positive on November 05, 2024. Looking at past instances where OTRK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 34 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 64 cases where OTRK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OTRK advanced for three days, in of 233 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 14, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OTRK as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for OTRK entered a downward trend on November 14, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.228) is normal, around the industry mean (30.218). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (162.204). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.181) is also within normal values, averaging (56.412).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. OTRK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. OTRK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

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OTRK
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
2200 Paseo Verde Parkway
Phone
+1 310 444-4300
Employees
119
Web
https://www.ontrakhealth.com