ORGN Origin Materials Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ORGN in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 15, 2025

ORGN moved below its 50-day moving average on August 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 31 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ORGN moved out of overbought territory on August 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 49 cases where ORGN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ORGN as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ORGN turned negative on August 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 35 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORGN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORGN advanced for three days, in of 246 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ORGN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 124 cases where ORGN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.270) is normal, around the industry mean (5.082). P/E Ratio (5.395) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.054). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.416). ORGN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.039). P/S Ratio (2.843) is also within normal values, averaging (5.856).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ORGN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ORGN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.