NREF NexPoint Real Estate Finance Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

NREF's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NREF turned positive on July 09, 2025. Looking at past instances where NREF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NREF as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NREF moved above its 50-day moving average on July 22, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NREF advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 246 cases where NREF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 10-day moving average for NREF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 25, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NREF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NREF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.681) is normal, around the industry mean (1.997). P/E Ratio (22.417) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.028). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.654). NREF has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.149) as compared to the industry average of (0.070). NREF's P/S Ratio (217.391) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.058).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NREF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NREF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.