NGVC Natural Grocers BY Vitamin Cottage Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

NGVC's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NGVC turned positive on August 08, 2025. Looking at past instances where NGVC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NGVC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 54 cases where NGVC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 11, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NGVC as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NGVC advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NGVC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

NGVC moved below its 50-day moving average on August 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for NGVC moved below the 200-day moving average on August 06, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NGVC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NGVC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.399) is normal, around the industry mean (4.461). P/E Ratio (20.644) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.851). NGVC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.827). NGVC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.012) as compared to the industry average of (0.029). P/S Ratio (0.684) is also within normal values, averaging (106.977).