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NCDL
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Jul 25 closing price
Price
$16.89
Change
-$0.04 (-0.24%)
Capitalization
989.97M

NCDL Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp is a specialty finance company focused predominantly on investing in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U... Show more

NCDL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for NCDL with price predictions
Jul 25, 2025

NCDL's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for NCDL moved out of overbought territory on July 18, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 4 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 4 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 21 cases where NCDL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NCDL as a result. In of 31 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NCDL turned negative on July 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 14 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 14 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NCDL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NCDL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NCDL advanced for three days, in of 99 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 79 cases where NCDL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.308) is normal, around the industry mean (2.752). P/E Ratio (12.878) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.216). NCDL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.172). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.072) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.919) is also within normal values, averaging (11.823).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NCDL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NCDL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.

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NCDL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

NCDL is expected to report earnings to fall 3.77% to 50 cents per share on August 06

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp NCDL Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'25
Est.
$0.51
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.06
Q4'24
Missed
by $0.01
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.02
Q2'24
Missed
by $0.20
The last earnings report on May 08 showed earnings per share of 52 cents, missing the estimate of 58 cents. With 111.85K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 989.97M.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

NCDL is expected to pay dividends on July 28, 2025

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp NCDL Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.45 per share will be paid with a record date of July 28, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of June 30, 2025. The last dividend of $0.45 was paid on April 28. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
375 Park Avenue
Phone
+1 212 478-9200
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.churchillam.com
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NCDL and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NCDL has been closely correlated with CION. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NCDL jumps, then CION could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NCDL
1D Price
Change %
NCDL100%
-0.24%
CION - NCDL
68%
Closely correlated
-0.79%
GBDC - NCDL
64%
Loosely correlated
N/A
NMFC - NCDL
64%
Loosely correlated
-0.38%
PFLT - NCDL
64%
Loosely correlated
N/A
CGBD - NCDL
64%
Loosely correlated
+1.72%
More

Groups containing NCDL

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NCDL
1D Price
Change %
NCDL100%
-0.24%
NCDL
(2 stocks)
93%
Closely correlated
-0.51%