MTH Meritage Homes Corporation Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MTH in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on January 13, 2026

The 10-day moving average for MTH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTH as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTH just turned positive on January 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MTH moved above its 50-day moving average on January 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTH advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MTH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for MTH entered a downward trend on January 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.026) is normal, around the industry mean (41.304). P/E Ratio (10.291) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.354). MTH's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.644). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.920) is also within normal values, averaging (24.890).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.