MSDL Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MSDL in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 07, 2025

MSDL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 16 cases where MSDL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 21 cases where MSDL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSDL advanced for three days, in of 76 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 69 cases where MSDL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MSDL as a result. In of 36 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MSDL turned negative on November 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 18 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MSDL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MSDL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 6 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSDL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.819) is normal, around the industry mean (5.969). P/E Ratio (10.133) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.930). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.582). Dividend Yield (0.120) settles around the average of (0.080) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.709) is also within normal values, averaging (31.022).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MSDL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MSDL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.