MRNA Moderna Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MRNA in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on June 17, 2025

MRNA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 36 cases where MRNA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where MRNA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MRNA just turned positive on June 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where MRNA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MRNA moved above its 50-day moving average on June 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MRNA advanced for three days, in of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MRNA as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for MRNA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 27, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MRNA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.044) is normal, around the industry mean (16.366). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.189). MRNA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.309). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.331) is also within normal values, averaging (252.247).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MRNA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MRNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.