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MPC
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Jan 14 closing price
Price
$181.09
Change
+$5.24 (+2.98%)
Capitalization
54.44B

MPC MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Marathon Petroleum is an independent refiner with 13 refineries in the midcontinent, West Coast, and Gulf Coast of the United States with total throughput capacity of 3... Show more

MPC
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MPC with price predictions
Jan 13, 2026

MPC in -0.86% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on January 12, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where MPC declined for three days, in of 239 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 10-day moving average for MPC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MPC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for MPC entered a downward trend on January 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MPC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MPC as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MPC just turned positive on January 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where MPC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPC advanced for three days, in of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MPC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.184) is normal, around the industry mean (10.732). P/E Ratio (19.265) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.757). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.013) is also within normal values, averaging (2.611). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.423) is also within normal values, averaging (0.538).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

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MPC
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

MPC is expected to report earnings to rise 10.96% to $3.34 per share on February 03

MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp MPC Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'25
Est.
$3.34
Q3'25
Missed
by $0.18
Q2'25
Beat
by $0.85
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.42
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.15
The last earnings report on November 04 showed earnings per share of $3.01, missing the estimate of $3.19. With 2.83M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 54.44B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

MPC paid dividends on September 10, 2025

MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp MPC Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.91 per share was paid with a record date of September 10, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of August 20, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters

Industry OilRefiningMarketing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil Refining Or Marketing
Address
539 South Main Street
Phone
+1 419 422-2121
Employees
18200
Web
https://www.marathonpetroleum.com
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MPC and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPC has been closely correlated with VLO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPC jumps, then VLO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MPC
1D Price
Change %
MPC100%
+2.98%
VLO - MPC
89%
Closely correlated
+2.62%
PSX - MPC
87%
Closely correlated
+2.68%
DINO - MPC
85%
Closely correlated
+2.26%
PBF - MPC
71%
Closely correlated
-1.46%
PARR - MPC
67%
Closely correlated
+2.81%
More

Groups containing MPC

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MPC
1D Price
Change %
MPC100%
+2.98%
MPC
(7 stocks)
95%
Closely correlated
+1.98%