MGOV First Trust Intermediate Gvt Opps ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MGOV in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on January 07, 2026

The 10-day moving average for MGOV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 8 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MGOV just turned positive on January 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where MGOV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 24 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MGOV moved above its 50-day moving average on January 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MGOV advanced for three days, in of 155 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 155 cases where MGOV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MGOV as a result. In of 37 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MGOV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MGOV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.