JMIA Jumia Technologies AG Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

JMIA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on February 18, 2025

JMIA moved below its 50-day moving average on February 18, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 28 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 53 cases where JMIA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JMIA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JMIA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 14, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JMIA as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JMIA just turned positive on January 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where JMIA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JMIA advanced for three days, in of 278 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 196 cases where JMIA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.894) is normal, around the industry mean (4.753). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (65.626). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.020). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.018) is also within normal values, averaging (5.562).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. JMIA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JMIA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.