JAPAY Japan Tobacco Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

JAPAY in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on February 03, 2026

JAPAY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 48 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for JAPAY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JAPAY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for JAPAY entered a downward trend on January 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 55 cases where JAPAY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JAPAY as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JAPAY just turned positive on February 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where JAPAY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

JAPAY moved above its 50-day moving average on February 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JAPAY advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.474) is normal, around the industry mean (11.225). JAPAY has a moderately high P/E Ratio (52.839) as compared to the industry average of (22.699). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.437) is also within normal values, averaging (0.949). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.093) is also within normal values, averaging (2.470).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JAPAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.