JAPAF Japan Tobacco Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

JAPAF sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

JAPAF saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on December 31, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 57 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where JAPAF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JAPAF as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JAPAF moved below its 50-day moving average on January 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for JAPAF's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JAPAF advanced for three days, in of 54 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

JAPAF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 209 cases where JAPAF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.339) is normal, around the industry mean (11.336). JAPAF has a moderately high P/E Ratio (49.940) as compared to the industry average of (21.734). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.413) is also within normal values, averaging (0.928). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.051) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.923) is also within normal values, averaging (2.398).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JAPAF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.