HARD Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

HARD in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on July 03, 2025

HARD moved below its 50-day moving average on July 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 13 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for HARD moved out of overbought territory on June 13, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 20 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 23, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HARD as a result. In of 35 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HARD turned negative on June 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 21 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for HARD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 02, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 6 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HARD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 27 cases where HARD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HARD advanced for three days, in of 143 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

HARD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.