HARD Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for HARD turns positive, indicating new upward trend

HARD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 14, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 29 cases where HARD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

HARD moved above its 50-day moving average on August 18, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HARD advanced for three days, in of 154 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

HARD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 98 cases where HARD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for HARD moved out of overbought territory on July 24, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HARD turned negative on July 31, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 23 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for HARD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 7 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HARD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .