GPMT Granite Point Mortgage Trust Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

GPMT sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

On February 20, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for GPMT moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 64 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 64 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for GPMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 13, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPMT advanced for three days, in of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 200 cases where GPMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for GPMT moved out of overbought territory on February 14, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 19, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GPMT as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GPMT turned negative on February 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

GPMT moved below its 50-day moving average on February 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for GPMT moved below the 200-day moving average on February 24, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GPMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.273) is normal, around the industry mean (1.987). P/E Ratio (38.760) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.577). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). GPMT's Dividend Yield (0.163) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.070). P/S Ratio (2.997) is also within normal values, averaging (7.119).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GPMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPMT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.