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GGB Stock Gerdau SA (GGB, $3.8) price may drop as it broke higher Bollinger Band on May 03, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
05/04/24
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GGB - Gerdau SA
Bollinger signal
Bearish Trend
Odds of DOWN Trend
Tickeron
Bollinger signal
Price: $3.8
Daily change: +$0.19 (+5.26%)
Daily volume: 36.5M
Capitalization: $7.2B
Industry: Steel
This price move could be a signal that GGB may fall back below the higher band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor backtested 49 similar cases where GGB's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:

GGB in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024

GGB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 47 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for GGB moved out of overbought territory on November 11, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 69 cases where GGB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GGB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for GGB entered a downward trend on November 06, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GGB as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GGB just turned positive on November 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where GGB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GGB moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GGB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 13, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GGB advanced for three days, in of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.740) is normal, around the industry mean (1.264). P/E Ratio (8.602) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.675). GGB's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (0.971). Dividend Yield (0.051) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.645) is also within normal values, averaging (1.168).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GGB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

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General Information

a manufacturer of specialty steel products

Industry Steel

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Steel
Address
Avenida Dra. Ruth Cardoso
Phone
+55 1130946300
Employees
27371
Web
https://www.gerdau.com