GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to reflect the value of the Bitcoin held by the Trust, determined by reference to the index price, less the trust’s expenses and other liabilities... Show more
Momentum Indicator for GBTC turns positive, indicating new upward trend
GBTC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 11, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GBTC just turned positive on August 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where GBTC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GBTC advanced for three days, in of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 264 cases where GBTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GBTC moved out of overbought territory on July 15, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GBTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GBTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
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GBTC and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GBTC has been closely correlated with BITB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GBTC jumps, then BITB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GBTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBTC | 100% | -3.99% | ||
| BITB - GBTC | 97% Closely correlated | -4.01% | ||
| ARKB - GBTC | 97% Closely correlated | -3.89% | ||
| EZBC - GBTC | 97% Closely correlated | -4.00% | ||
| FBTC - GBTC | 97% Closely correlated | -4.01% | ||
| IBIT - GBTC | 97% Closely correlated | -4.02% | ||
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