FWRG Stock First Watch Restaurant Group (FWRG, $15.99) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned negative on January 30, 2026

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FWRG - First Watch Restaurant Group

MACD signal

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Odds of DOWN Trend

Price: $15.99

Daily change: -$0.17 (-1.05%)

Daily volume: 1.2M

Capitalization: $975.9M

Industry: Restaurants

This is a Bearish indicator signaling FWRG's price could decline from here. Traders may explore shorting the stock or put options. A.I. dvisor identified 42 similar cases where FWRG's MACD histogram became negative, and of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success:

FWRG sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

FWRG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on January 30, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FWRG as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FWRG moved below its 50-day moving average on January 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FWRG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for FWRG moved below the 200-day moving average on December 30, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FWRG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FWRG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FWRG advanced for three days, in of 242 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 141 cases where FWRG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FWRG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.693) is normal, around the industry mean (4.535). FWRG's P/E Ratio (210.625) is considerably higher than the industry average of (38.379). FWRG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.574). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.129) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.903) is also within normal values, averaging (8.357).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FWRG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.