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FWRG
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
Jun 27 closing price
Price
$16.11
Change
+$1.06 (+7.04%)
Capitalization
981.38M

FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is a daytime restaurant concept serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch, and lunch using fresh ingredients... Show more

FWRG
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FWRG with price predictions
Jun 27, 2025

FWRG sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

On June 27, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for FWRG moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 44 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 27, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FWRG as a result. In of 66 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FWRG just turned positive on June 09, 2025. Looking at past instances where FWRG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FWRG advanced for three days, in of 212 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FWRG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FWRG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for FWRG entered a downward trend on June 17, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FWRG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.648) is normal, around the industry mean (7.581). P/E Ratio (94.647) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.496). FWRG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.915). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.945) is also within normal values, averaging (8.675).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FWRG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

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FWRG
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

FWRG is expected to report earnings to fall 746.00% to 6 cents per share on August 12

First Watch Restaurant Group FWRG Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'25
Est.
$0.06
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.05
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.01
Q3'24
Missed
by $0.01
Q2'24
Beat
by $0.01
The last earnings report on May 06 showed earnings per share of 0 cents, missing the estimate of 3 cents. With 1.55M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 981.38M.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
8725 Pendery Place
Phone
+1 941 907-9800
Employees
14000
Web
https://investors.firstwatch.com
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FWRG and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FWRG has been loosely correlated with CAKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FWRG jumps, then CAKE could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FWRG
1D Price
Change %
FWRG100%
+7.04%
CAKE - FWRG
49%
Loosely correlated
+1.63%
KRUS - FWRG
48%
Loosely correlated
-0.29%
TXRH - FWRG
46%
Loosely correlated
+1.46%
DRI - FWRG
45%
Loosely correlated
+0.05%
BJRI - FWRG
44%
Loosely correlated
-0.58%
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