FGM First Trust Germany AlphaDEX® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

FGM in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on September 30, 2025

FGM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 35 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FGM moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FGM as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FGM turned negative on October 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

FGM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FGM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 10-day moving average for FGM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 15, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FGM advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 276 cases where FGM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .