FGBI Stock First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI, $4.41) price may climb as it broke lower Bollinger Band on Dec 05, 2025

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FGBI - First Guaranty Bancshares

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Odds of UP Trend

Price: $4.41

Daily change: -$0.39 (-8.13%)

Daily volume: 27.6K

Capitalization: $67.7M

Industry: Regional Banks

This price move could be a signal that FGBI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. A.I.dvisor backtested 42 similar cases where FGBI's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:

FGBI in +1.99% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on December 18, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where FGBI advanced for three days, in of 248 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FGBI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 18, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FGBI as a result. In of 104 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FGBI just turned positive on December 01, 2025. Looking at past instances where FGBI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FGBI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 51 cases where FGBI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FGBI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for FGBI entered a downward trend on December 16, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FGBI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FGBI's P/B Ratio (0.411) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.163). FGBI has a moderately high P/E Ratio (61.923) as compared to the industry average of (18.273). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.246). FGBI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.008) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (0.800) is also within normal values, averaging (5.340).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FGBI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock worse than average.