EXSR Exchange Bank (Santa Rosa, CA) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

EXSR's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for EXSR moved out of overbought territory on July 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 21 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 74 cases where EXSR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXSR as a result. In of 135 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXSR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

EXSR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EXSR just turned positive on June 30, 2025. Looking at past instances where EXSR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

EXSR moved above its 50-day moving average on July 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for EXSR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 15, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for EXSR moved above the 200-day moving average on July 10, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXSR advanced for three days, in of 111 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: EXSR's P/B Ratio (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.035). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.978). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.345). Dividend Yield (0.056) settles around the average of (0.059) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.927).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. EXSR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EXSR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock worse than average.