ESNT Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Broadening Wedge Ascending ESNT on January 12, 2026, netting in a 0.30% gain over 1 month

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ESNT - Essent Group Ltd

Ticker: ESNT

Company: Essent Group

Gain from shorting: +0.3%

Confirmed: 01/12/26

Succeeded: 01/12/26

Total length: 52 days

On November 21, 2025, A.I.dvisor detected a Broadening Wedge Ascending Pattern (Bearish) for Essent Group Ltd (ESNT, $62.50). 52 days later, on January 12, 2026, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On January 12, 2026, the stock hit the target price of $59.69 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

Momentum Indicator for ESNT turns negative, indicating new downward trend

ESNT saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on December 31, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 98 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 98 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ESNT turned negative on December 31, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ESNT moved below its 50-day moving average on January 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESNT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for ESNT's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESNT advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ESNT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 282 cases where ESNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ESNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.991) is normal, around the industry mean (1.972). P/E Ratio (8.552) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.880). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. ESNT's P/S Ratio (4.669) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.470).