COLL Collegium Pharmaceutical Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

COLL's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for COLL entered a downward trend on January 07, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 169 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 169 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for COLL moved out of overbought territory on January 14, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COLL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

COLL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 08, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on COLL as a result. In of 103 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COLL just turned positive on January 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where COLL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

COLL moved above its 50-day moving average on January 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COLL advanced for three days, in of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COLL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.365) is normal, around the industry mean (58.228). P/E Ratio (30.171) is within average values for comparable stocks, (89.834). COLL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.877). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.120) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.869) is also within normal values, averaging (19.449).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.