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CGAU Stock Centerra Gold (CGAU, $6.98) price may drop as it broke higher Bollinger Band on May 16, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
05/17/24
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CGAU - Centerra Gold
Bollinger signal
Bearish Trend
Odds of DOWN Trend
Tickeron
Bollinger signal
Price: $6.98
Daily change: +$0.26 (+3.87%)
Daily volume: 724.5K
Capitalization: $1.5B
Industry: Precious Metals
This price move could be a signal that CGAU may fall back below the higher band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor backtested 46 similar cases where CGAU's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:

CGAU in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 31, 2024

CGAU moved below its 50-day moving average on October 31, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 34 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 31, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CGAU as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CGAU turned negative on October 28, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for CGAU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CGAU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

CGAU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.763) is normal, around the industry mean (7.114). P/E Ratio (1.608) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.363). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (8.405). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.183) is also within normal values, averaging (148.836).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CGAU’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CGAU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

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General Information

Industry PreciousMetals

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1 University Avenue
Phone
+1 416 204-1953
Employees
1020
Web
https://www.centerragold.com