CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for CBSH turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CBSH saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on December 24, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 84 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 72 cases where CBSH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CBSH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CBSH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

CBSH moved above its 50-day moving average on December 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CBSH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CBSH advanced for three days, in of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 207 cases where CBSH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CBSH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CBSH's P/B Ratio (1.955) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.163). P/E Ratio (13.289) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.853). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.247). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.257) is also within normal values, averaging (5.337).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CBSH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock worse than average.